Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting

Author:   Andrew Robertson (Senior Research Scientist, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Earth Institute, Columbia University, NY, USA) ,  Frederic Vitart (Senior Research Scientist, European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), UK)
Publisher:   Elsevier - Health Sciences Division
Edition:   2nd edition
ISBN:  

9780443315381


Pages:   896
Publication Date:   10 November 2025
Format:   Paperback
Availability:   In Print   Availability explained
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Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting


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Author:   Andrew Robertson (Senior Research Scientist, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Earth Institute, Columbia University, NY, USA) ,  Frederic Vitart (Senior Research Scientist, European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), UK)
Publisher:   Elsevier - Health Sciences Division
Imprint:   Elsevier - Health Sciences Division
Edition:   2nd edition
Weight:   0.450kg
ISBN:  

9780443315381


ISBN 10:   0443315388
Pages:   896
Publication Date:   10 November 2025
Audience:   Professional and scholarly ,  College/higher education ,  Professional & Vocational ,  Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly
Format:   Paperback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   In Print   Availability explained
This item will be ordered in for you from one of our suppliers. Upon receipt, we will promptly dispatch it out to you. For in store availability, please contact us.

Table of Contents

Part I: Setting the scene 1. Introduction: Why S2S? 2. Weather forecasting: What sets the forecast horizon? 3. Weather within Climate: Sub-seasonal predictability of tropical daily rainfall characteristics Part II: Sources of S2S Predictability 4. The Madden-Julian Oscillation 5. Extratropical sub-seasonal–to–seasonal oscillations and multiple regimes: The dynamical systems view 6. Tropical-Extratropical Interactions and Teleconnections 7. Land surface processes relevant to S2S prediction 8. Role of ocean in sub-seasonal predictability 9. The role of sea ice in sub-seasonal predictability 10. Sub-seasonal Predictability and the Stratosphere Part III: S2S Modeling and Forecasting 11. Forecast system design, configuration, complexity 12. Ensemble generation: the TIGGE and S2S ensembles 13. Forecast recalibration and multi-model combination 14. Forecast verification for S2S time scales 15. Machine learning S2S prediction Part IV: S2S Applications 16. Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather Extremes 17. Communication and dissemination of forecasts and engaging user communities 18. Seamless prediction of monsoon onset and active/break phases 19. Predicting climate impacts on health at sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales 20. Co-produced S2S Climate Services in Africa 21. S2S for Energy 22. Marine weather prediction on S2S timescales 23. Epilogue

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Author Information

Dr Andrew Robertson is a Senior Research Scientist at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society, part of the Earth Institute at Columbia University. He heads the IRI Climate Group and teaches as an adjunct professor at Columbia. Graduating with a PhD in atmospheric dynamics, he has over 30 years of experience in topics ranging from midlatitude meteorology, coupled ocean-atmosphere climate dynamics, sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasting, downscaling, and tailoring of climate information for use in conjunction with sectoral models for climate adaptation and risk management. He has taught in capacity building training courses around the world. Frédéric Vitart is a Senior Research Scientist at the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). After graduating with a PhD in atmospheric and oceanic sciences from Princeton University, he joined ECMWF in 1998, where he leads the research on ensemble sub-seasonal forecasts. He has over 20 years of experience in sub-seasonal and seasonal prediction, couple ocean-atmosphere modeling, tropical and mid-latitude meteorology, tropical cyclone prediction. He is the author of over 100 publications in the peer-review literature and has taught in several training courses around the world.

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