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OverviewMichael Turner argues that the root causes of failures in American intelligence can be found in the way it is organized and in the intelligence process itself. Intelligence that has gone awry affects national decision making and, ultimately, American national security. Intelligence officials are reluctant to talk about intelligence successes, claiming ""the secret of our success is the secret of our success."" But these officials also shy away from talking about failures, largely because doing so would expose the failings of American intelligence and have an impact on policy consumers who may become more reluctant to accept and act on the intelligence they receive. Rather than focusing on case studies, the book takes a holistic approach, beginning with structural issues and all dysfunctions that emanate from them. Turner explores each step of the intelligence cycle - priority setting, intelligence collection, analysis, production, and dissemination - to identify the ""inflection points"" within each stage that contribute to intelligence failures. Finally, he examines a variety of plans that, if implemented, would reduce the likelihood of intelligence failures. While examining the causes of intelligence failures, Turner also explores intelligence as a critical governmental activity, making the book an excellent primer on secret intelligence. Turner writes in jargon-free prose for the informed reader interested in foreign policy and national security policy matters and brings enough depth to his subject that even experts will find this a must-read. Why did I write this book? I thought it was the right time to do so. Unfortunately, intelligence officials and policymakers often ignore, or at least downplay, intelligence failures. Yet, intelligence that goes awry affects national decisionmaking and, ultimately, American national security. Little is known about the causes of intelligence failures, in part because intelligence officials and their policy consumers are reluctant to talk about them. There is a saying in the United States intelligence community that the media and the public trumpet intelligence failures while ignoring intelligence successes. This would be true if the public knew as much about intelligence successes as it does about intelligence failures. However, the public does not know, largely because intelligence officials are reluctant to talk about intelligence successes, often claiming, ""the secret of our success is the secret of our success."" These people also shy away from talking about failures because doing so would expose the failings of American intelligence and have an impact on policy consumers who may become more reluctant to accept and act on the intelligence they receive. This, in turn, has consequences for the US intelligence community, whose legitimacy and funding depends, at least, on the appearance of making a difference in national decisionmaking. There is no doubt that intelligence provides benefits to national policymaking, and doing so efficiently requires coping with the problems associated with intelligence failures. Dealing with the phenomenon of intelligence failures, in turn, requires an understanding of their causes. This book is a modest try at filling this gap. I am fortunate to have been a practitioner of the craft of intelligence. I spent a big chunk of my adult life in intelligence, and I learned much about the intricacies of intelligence collection, analysis, production, and dissemination, to which the public rarely, if ever, is exposed. I also have had the privilege of studying the complexities of American intelligence as a scholar, an outsider. The two perspectives - of the insider and the outsider - have given me a complete picture of the workings of U.S. intelligence. What follows, then, is a distillation of many years of work and study. American intelligence is a vast, complex, and expensive enterprise, with tremendous strengths and distinctive flaws. This book focuses mainly on the flaws, in large measure because they are the harbingers of failure. Identifying the root causes, however, does not guarantee remedial actions or future success. The frustrating part in writing a book like this is having to conclude that there is really little that can be done about intelligence failures, because their root causes are firmly embedded in the intelligence process itself. Corrective actions can only serve to streamline the process. The best one can hope for is to minimize the chances of intelligence failures by employing America's considerable intelligence resources to collect timely and relevant intelligence information and for national leaders to employ that intelligence in the making of wise and sound policy. Full Product DetailsAuthor: Michael A. TurnerPublisher: Potomac Books Inc Imprint: Potomac Books Inc Dimensions: Width: 15.20cm , Height: 2.40cm , Length: 22.90cm Weight: 0.481kg ISBN: 9781574888904ISBN 10: 1574888900 Pages: 224 Publication Date: 01 January 2005 Audience: General/trade , General Format: Hardback Publisher's Status: Active Availability: In Print This item will be ordered in for you from one of our suppliers. Upon receipt, we will promptly dispatch it out to you. For in store availability, please contact us. Table of ContentsAcknowledgements; Preface; List of Abbreviations; Chapter One - The Uncertainty Principle; What Is Intelligence? Utility of Intelligence; The Intelligence Cycle; The Plan; Chapter Two - Intelligence, American Style; Historical Reflections; The Intelligence Community; The Ineffectual DCI; The New Counterterrorism Focus; Chapter Three - Pitfalls of American Style Intelligence; The Intelligence Ethos; Bureaucratic Pathologies; Communication Problems; Inflection Points; Chapter Four - The Foreign Experience; The British Model; The Israeli Model; The South African Model; The French Model; Points of Comparison; Chapter Five - Requirements And Priorities; Shoddy, Hyped, and False Intelligence; How Is It Done? The Policy Environment; Intelligence Community Dynamics; The Analyst/Collector Environment; Inflection Points; Chapter Six - Perils of Intelligence Collection; Collection Disciplines; ORCON; The Classification System; An Ounce of Prevention; Inflection Points; Chapter Seven - Analytic Snafus; The World of the Analyst; The Estimative Process; Politicized Intelligence; Cognitive Issues; Inflection Points; Chapter Eight - Getting Intelligence to the Right People; Producing Intelligence; Disseminating Intelligence; Using Intelligence; Inflection Points; Chapter Nine - Contributing Factors; Counterintelligence; Covert Action; Inflection Points; Chapter Ten - Toward Smarter Intelligence; The Tragedy of Unrealistic Expectations; Provide Strong leadership With Unity of Command; Refine the Fusion Center Concept; Integrate Domestic with Foreign Intelligence; Promote Total Information Awareness; Improve Analytic Tradecraft; The Future of Warning? GlossaryReviews"""Clear, accurate, easily understandable, and should serve as a top-rate text. Highly recommended."" --CHOICE" Clear, accurate, easily understandable, and should serve as a top-rate text. Highly recommended. --CHOICE Author InformationMichael A. Turner is the Cannon Professor of International Affairs at Alliant International University. He is a fifteen-year veteran of the Central Intelligence Agency, where he worked in various analytical and staff positions. Dr. Turner also served on several rotational assignments on Capitol Hill and at the Department of State and Department of Defense. He has published widely and lectures on national security, intelligence issues, and Aegean and Middle Eastern politics. He lives in San Diego. Tab Content 6Author Website:Countries AvailableAll regions |
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