The Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results: A Practical Guide

Author:   Eduard Hofer
Publisher:   Springer Nature Switzerland AG
Edition:   Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2018
ISBN:  

9783030094560


Pages:   346
Publication Date:   11 February 2019
Format:   Paperback
Availability:   Manufactured on demand   Availability explained
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The Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results: A Practical Guide


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Overview

This book is a practical guide to the uncertainty analysis of computer model applications. Used in many areas, such as engineering, ecology and economics, computer models are subject to various uncertainties at the level of model formulations, parameter values and input data. Naturally, it would be advantageous to know the combined effect of these uncertainties on the model results as well as whether the state of knowledge should be improved in order to reduce the uncertainty of the results most effectively. The book supports decision-makers, model developers and users in their argumentation for an uncertainty analysis and assists them in the interpretation of the analysis results.

Full Product Details

Author:   Eduard Hofer
Publisher:   Springer Nature Switzerland AG
Imprint:   Springer Nature Switzerland AG
Edition:   Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2018
Dimensions:   Width: 15.50cm , Height: 1.90cm , Length: 23.50cm
Weight:   0.557kg
ISBN:  

9783030094560


ISBN 10:   3030094561
Pages:   346
Publication Date:   11 February 2019
Audience:   Professional and scholarly ,  Professional & Vocational
Format:   Paperback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   Manufactured on demand   Availability explained
We will order this item for you from a manufactured on demand supplier.

Table of Contents

Preface.- Introduction and necessary distinctions.- Step 1: Search.- Step 2: Quantify.- Step 3: Propagate.- Step 4: Estimate uncertainty.- Step 5: Rank uncertainties.- Step 6: Present the analysis and interpret its results.- Practical execution of the analysis.- Uncertainty analysis when separation of uncertainties is required.- Practical examples.- References.- Subject index.

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Author Information

Eduard Hofer holds a Master of Science diploma with distinction in mathematics from the Technical University of Munich (TUM), Germany. He developed a method for the numerical solution of initial value problems with large systems of stiff first-order ordinary differential equations. He also designed a non-commercial, PC-based software system for uncertainty analysis of results from computer models and conducted the uncertainty analysis of numerous applications of computationally demanding computer models. Hofer served on the external peer-review committee of a major US dose reconstruction study with the subtask in uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, and contributed to numerous international conferences. Furthermore, he received an award for his contributions in the field of probabilistic risk assessment.

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