Overview

We are living through a pivotal moment in history, one of those rare periods when the very foundations of the international order tremble under the weight of new geopolitical realities. At the start of 2026, while the scars of successive crises-pandemic, energy, military-are still visible on the body of the global economy, Europe finds itself facing a mirror that reflects an image as fascinating as it is unsettling. It is the world's leading trading power, a regulatory force whose decisions influence markets from California to China, a model of democratic stability in a turbulent Asian continent, and an African neighbor undergoing profound demographic change. Yet, despite this undeniable economic and regulatory power, Europe remains a strategic dwarf, a giant with feet of clay whose ultimate security still depends, seventy-five years after the end of the Second World War, on the goodwill of an extra-continental power: the United States of America.

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