The Turnout Myth: Voting Rates and Partisan Outcomes in American National Elections

Author:   Daron Shaw (Professor of Political Science, Professor of Political Science, University of Texas) ,  John Petrocik (Professor of Political Science, Professor of Political Science, University of Missouri)
Publisher:   Oxford University Press Inc
ISBN:  

9780190089467


Pages:   216
Publication Date:   24 January 2020
Format:   Paperback
Availability:   To order   Availability explained
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The Turnout Myth: Voting Rates and Partisan Outcomes in American National Elections


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Author:   Daron Shaw (Professor of Political Science, Professor of Political Science, University of Texas) ,  John Petrocik (Professor of Political Science, Professor of Political Science, University of Missouri)
Publisher:   Oxford University Press Inc
Imprint:   Oxford University Press Inc
Dimensions:   Width: 23.40cm , Height: 1.30cm , Length: 15.50cm
Weight:   0.318kg
ISBN:  

9780190089467


ISBN 10:   0190089466
Pages:   216
Publication Date:   24 January 2020
Audience:   Professional and scholarly ,  Professional & Vocational
Format:   Paperback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   To order   Availability explained
Stock availability from the supplier is unknown. We will order it for you and ship this item to you once it is received by us.

Table of Contents

Preface Chapter 1: If Only Our People Had Turned Out! Chapter 2: American Turnout: A History and Portrait Chapter 3: A Theoretical Exploration of Voting and Turnout Chapter 4: Turnout and Partisan Vote Choice: Over Time and Across States and Districts Chapter 5: Turnout and Partisan Vote Choice: Over Time and Within States and Districts Chapter 6: Congressional District Results: A Further Look Chapter 7: Why Is the Conventional Wisdom Wrong? Chapter 8: If Turnout isn't Driving Election Swings, What is? Chapter 9: Some Final Data and Thoughts on the Turnout/Vote Choice Link Appendices References

Reviews

The Turnout Myth should be mandatory reading for political scholars and election analysts. -- D. Sunshine Hillygus, Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, Duke University This book scrutinizes one of the oldest and most deeply held pieces of conventional wisdom about American elections: that election outcomes depend a great deal upon turnout rates and Democrats benefit from higher turnout. Shaw and Petrocik's careful, thorough analysis utterly refutes this claim. It is dead, and it is not coming back. Rather, they find that an old, almost forgotten explanation DL surge and decline DL more strongly connects turnout and election outcomes. -- D. Roderick Kiewiet, Professor of Political Science, California Institute of Technology


This book scrutinizes one of the oldest and most deeply held pieces of conventional wisdom about American elections: that election outcomes depend a great deal upon turnout rates and Democrats benefit from higher turnout. Shaw and Petrocik's careful, thorough analysis utterly refutes this claim. It is dead, and it is not coming back. Rather, they find that an old, almost forgotten explanation - surge and decline - more strongly connects turnout and election outcomes. * D. Roderick Kiewiet, Professor of Political Science, California Institute of Technology * The Turnout Myth should be mandatory reading for political scholars and election analysts. * D. Sunshine Hillygus, Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, Duke University *


Author Information

Daron Shaw is a Professor of Government at the University of Texas at Austin and co-director of the Fox News Poll, co-director of the University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, director of the Texas Lyceum Poll, and associate Principle Investigator for the 2020 American National Election Study. He is author of The Race to 270 and co-author of Unconventional Wisdom (Oxford). John Petrocik is Professor Emeritus Political Science at the University of Missouri and worked as a consultant and strategist for political campaigns. He co-authored Unconventional Wisdom (Oxford) and The Changing American Voter, winner of the American Political Science Association's 1976 Woodrow Wilson Award, and is the author of Party Coalitions.

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