The Power of Polls?: A Cross-National Experimental Analysis of the Effects of Campaign Polls

Author:   Jason Roy ,  Shane P. Singh (University of Georgia) ,  Patrick Fournier (Université de Montréal)
Publisher:   Cambridge University Press
ISBN:  

9781108792462


Pages:   75
Publication Date:   07 October 2021
Format:   Paperback
Availability:   Manufactured on demand   Availability explained
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The Power of Polls?: A Cross-National Experimental Analysis of the Effects of Campaign Polls


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Overview

Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated election campaigns. We draw upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents (Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. We further assess how poll effects differ according to individual-level factors, such as partisanship and political sophistication, and the content included in polls and how it is presented. Our work provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections.

Full Product Details

Author:   Jason Roy ,  Shane P. Singh (University of Georgia) ,  Patrick Fournier (Université de Montréal)
Publisher:   Cambridge University Press
Imprint:   Cambridge University Press
Dimensions:   Width: 15.10cm , Height: 0.60cm , Length: 22.80cm
Weight:   0.145kg
ISBN:  

9781108792462


ISBN 10:   1108792464
Pages:   75
Publication Date:   07 October 2021
Audience:   General/trade ,  General
Format:   Paperback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   Manufactured on demand   Availability explained
We will order this item for you from a manufactured on demand supplier.

Table of Contents

1. Do Polls Matter?; 2. Methodology and Assessment; 3. The Effects of Polls on the Search for Campaign Information; 4. The Effects of Polls on Vote Choice; 5. Conclusion.

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