Overview

This monograph, completed ahead of the November 2014 deadline, examines some of the underlying factors which will be constant in dealing with a nuclear capable Iran under President Hassan Rouhani, and which will help determine the success or failure of talks in 2015. It analyzes Rouhani's eventful first year in office in order to provide pointers to what may be possible--and to some key limiting factors--for Iran under his leadership. During that time, Rouhani has been forced to balance his own progressive instincts with the instinctual caution of more conservative elements of the Iranian ruling elite. As a result, foreign hopes for his influence on Iran's place in the world have moved from initial optimism to a more sober assessment of the options available to him. This text provides an essential backdrop to the forthcoming renewed negotiations with Iran by providing an introduction to the complex interplay of issues and interests which constrain the Iranian leadership. Mingled with the authors' reseach on negotiations under Rouhani's leadership with Western countries' leadership, this book includes primary source excerpts from speeches of world leaders pertaining to their views on the progress for the agreement talks beginning in year 2013 through part of the year 2014. This text is not only for researchers and policymakers with an interest in Iran, but also can also provide insights to those working with the Middle East more broadly in areas of security issues. This paper is recommended for high school, 2-year and 4-year colleges/universities for student research on topics relating to U.S.-Iran relations, foreign diplomacy, nuclear power and weapons negotiations, arms control, and political science, international relations, and global studies collections. Iran resources collection can be found here: https: //bookstore.gpo.gov/catalog/international-foreign-affairs/middle-east/iran

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9781584876694

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR KEIR GILES is the director of the Conflict Studies Research Centre (CSRC), a group of deep subject matter experts on Eurasian security formerly attached to the United Kingdom (UK) Ministry of Defence. Now operating in the private sector, CSRC provides in-depth analysis on a wide range of security issues. After beginning his career working with paramilitary aviation in Russia and Ukraine immediately following the fall of the Soviet Union, Mr. Giles joined the BBC Monitoring Service (BBCM) to report on political and military affairs for UK Government customers. While attached from BBCM to CSRC at the UK Defence Academy, he wrote and briefed for UK and North Atlantic Treaty Organization government agencies on a wide range of defense and security issues, focusing on the role of adversary human factors. Uniquely, he is a double Associate Fellow of the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House) in London, UK, as well as a regular contributor to research projects on security issues in both the UK and Europe. Mr. Giles's work has appeared in a wide range of academic and military publications across Europe and in the United States.

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