Overview

In 1942, the Wehrmacht was forced to partially de-motorise its army until 1945. The reason for this? Lack of fuel. This split the German military into two parallel forces: one mechanised, the other reliant on horses. Almost a century later, an eerily similar crisis looms. If China and India consumed as much oil per capita as the United States, then current production would not be enough to meet their needs. As their economic growth is inevitable, the same paradigm as that of the German army in 1942 could become a reality by 2040. In other words, countries across the globe which consume oil to the detriment of other countries, are excluded de facto. Who will dominate when access to oil becomes exclusionary? What alliances will emerge? Is our countdown tied to the last drop of fossil fuel? In addition to an analysis based on figures, we propose to challenge our perception of the world, in order to bring a different understanding of our history and our future.

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9781035896783

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Jean-Marc Pauli was born in Geneva in 1969. After obtaining a degree in business administration, he entered the world of finance, where he worked in portfolio management, sales advisory and finance analysis. A keen student of history and strategy, he is constantly reading and keeping abreast of international political issues. Struck by the link between oil and our modern society, he rolled up his sleeves, adjusted his glasses and eventually found an accessible and exhaustive database on commodities. He seized the opportunity to create a sufficiently realistic world mapping to develop his hypothesis.

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