Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections: A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures

Author:   Winfried Schröder ,  Gunther Schmidt
Publisher:   Springer International Publishing AG
Edition:   2014 ed.
ISBN:  

9783319038223


Pages:   58
Publication Date:   08 January 2014
Format:   Paperback
Availability:   Manufactured on demand   Availability explained
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Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections: A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures


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Overview

This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.

Full Product Details

Author:   Winfried Schröder ,  Gunther Schmidt
Publisher:   Springer International Publishing AG
Imprint:   Springer International Publishing AG
Edition:   2014 ed.
Dimensions:   Width: 15.50cm , Height: 0.50cm , Length: 23.50cm
Weight:   1.182kg
ISBN:  

9783319038223


ISBN 10:   3319038222
Pages:   58
Publication Date:   08 January 2014
Audience:   Professional and scholarly ,  Professional & Vocational
Format:   Paperback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   Manufactured on demand   Availability explained
We will order this item for you from a manufactured on demand supplier.

Table of Contents

1. Background and Goals.- 2. Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony.- 3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Germany.- 4. Conclusions and Outlook.

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