Mapping Disease Transmission Risk: Enriching Models Using Biogeography and Ecology

Author:   A. Townsend Peterson (University Distinguished Professor, University of Kansas)
Publisher:   Johns Hopkins University Press
ISBN:  

9781421414737


Pages:   224
Publication Date:   21 January 2015
Recommended Age:   From 17
Format:   Hardback
Availability:   Out of stock   Availability explained
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Mapping Disease Transmission Risk: Enriching Models Using Biogeography and Ecology


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Full Product Details

Author:   A. Townsend Peterson (University Distinguished Professor, University of Kansas)
Publisher:   Johns Hopkins University Press
Imprint:   Johns Hopkins University Press
Dimensions:   Width: 17.80cm , Height: 2.10cm , Length: 25.40cm
Weight:   0.544kg
ISBN:  

9781421414737


ISBN 10:   1421414732
Pages:   224
Publication Date:   21 January 2015
Recommended Age:   From 17
Audience:   Professional and scholarly ,  Professional & Vocational
Format:   Hardback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   Out of stock   Availability explained
The supplier is temporarily out of stock of this item. It will be ordered for you on backorder and shipped when it becomes available.

Table of Contents

"Preface Acknowledgments 1. Introduction Ecology and Biogeography This Book Conclusions Part I: Distributional Ecology 2. General Conceptual Framework for Species' Distributions Historical Background A General Schema of Distributional Ecology Disease Systems Conclusions 3. Status of Data for Understanding Disease Distributions Disease Case-Occurrence Data Sets Relevant Biodiversity Occurrence Data Sets Georeferencing The Meaning of No Records Conclusions 4. Current Tools for Understanding Disease Distributions The Current Toolkit Shortcomings of the Current Methodologies Conclusions Part II: Disease Modeling Basics 5. Modifications to the Basic Framework Disease Peculiarities Real-World Examples: West Nile Virus and Others Implications for Disease Modeling Conclusions 6. Modeling Components versus Outcomes Disease Transmission Systems as Sets of Interacting Species Black-Box Approaches Component-Based Approaches Combined Approaches Conclusions 7. Space-Only versus Space-and-Environment Models Examples and Illustrations Contrasting the Two Types of Models Conclusions Part III: Preparing the Data 8. Garbage-In-Garbage-Out Principle Problems with Data Quality Biases Created by Geography Conclusions 9. Assembling Occurrence Data General Considerations Obtaining and Improving Occurrence Data Compatibility and Study Design Conclusions 10. Assembling Environmental Data Relevance to Species' Distributions General Considerations Modifiable Areal Unit Problem Specific Data Resources Conclusions 11. Study Areas and BAM Defining the Area M Sampling Considerations BAM Configurations Details of M and A for Model Transfers Conclusions Part IV: Developing Models 12. Calibrating Niche Models Introduction to Niche Models Nuts and Bolts Calibrating the ""Best"" Model Transferring and Extrapolating Characterizing Ecological Niches Conclusions 13. Processing Raw Outputs into Useful Maps Choosing Appropriate Thresholds From Potential to Actual Distributions Projecting and Transferring Models Conclusions 14. Evaluating Niche Models Controversies and Inappropriate Approaches Basic Concepts The Confusion Matrix and Its Implications Binary Model Evaluation Continuous Model Evaluation Model Evaluation and Model Performance Conclusions 15. Developing Risk Maps Initial Estimates Risk Modifiers Type I versus Type II Errors Overlay, Testing, and Simulation Conclusions Part V: Examples of Applications 16. Identifying Risk Factors Black-Box Disease Ecology Vector Ecology Human Variables Improvements and Future Steps Spatial Interpolation and Prediction Black-Box Examples Component-Based Examples Improvements and Future Steps 18. Identifying Species Involved in Transmission Cycles Identifying Guilty Species Understanding Transmission Systems Detecting Movement Vectors Complete Unknowns Improvements and Future Steps 19. Responses to Environmental Change Early Mechanistic Models Empirical Niche Model Projections of Climate Change Mechanistic versus Empirical Model Improvements and Future Steps 20. Conclusions Literature Cited Index"

Reviews

In this pioneering work... A. Townsend Peterson breaks new ground... Peterson's approach holds potentially enormous benefits for those charged with determining how disease spreads, and how to control that spread. -- Venkat Subramaniam Biz India Magazine His main thesis is repeated like a mantra throughout the text, and was well received by me--disease mapping must move beyond geography and better incorporate ecology and biogeography. Peterson defends this thesis over 20 (mostly very short) chapters primarily via a broad, conceptual overview focused on methodological considerations and caveats to ecological niche modeling (ENM), and through brief descriptions of numerous relevant case studies. Quarterly Review of Biology


In this pioneering work... A. Townsend Peterson breaks new ground... Peterson's approach holds potentially enormous benefits for those charged with determining how disease spreads, and how to control that spread. -- Venkat Subramaniam Biz India Magazine


Author Information

A. Townsend Peterson is a professor of ecology and evolutionary biology at the University of Kansas. He is the coauthor of Ecological Niches and Geographic Distributions.

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