Macroeconomic Survey Expectations
Author:   Michael P. Clements
Publisher:   Springer International Publishing AG
Edition:   1st ed. 2019
ISBN:  

9783319972220


Pages:   196
Publication Date:   15 January 2019
Format:   Hardback
Availability:   Manufactured on demand   Availability explained
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Macroeconomic Survey Expectations


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Overview

Why should we be interested in macroeconomic survey expectations? This important book offers an in-depth treatment of this question from a point of view not covered in existing works on time-series econometrics and forecasting. Clements presents the nature of survey data, addresses some of the difficulties posed by the way in which survey expectations are elicited and considers the evaluation of point predictions and probability distributions. He outlines how, from a behavioural perspective, surveys offer insight into how economic agents form their expectations.

Full Product Details

Author:   Michael P. Clements
Publisher:   Springer International Publishing AG
Imprint:   Springer International Publishing AG
Edition:   1st ed. 2019
Weight:   0.500kg
ISBN:  

9783319972220


ISBN 10:   3319972227
Pages:   196
Publication Date:   15 January 2019
Audience:   Professional and scholarly ,  College/higher education ,  Professional & Vocational ,  Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly
Format:   Hardback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   Manufactured on demand   Availability explained
We will order this item for you from a manufactured on demand supplier.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Introduction.- Chapter 2: The Nature of Survey Expectations.- Chapter 3: Working with Forecast Data.- Chapter 4: Assessing the Point Predictions.- Chapter 5: Assessing the Accuracy of the Probability Distributions.- Chapter 6: Consistency of the Point Forecasts and Probability Distributions.- Chapter 7: Macroeconomic Uncertainty - Surveys versus Models?.- Chapter 8: Behavioural Models of Expectations Formation.- Chapter 9: Expectations Shocks and the Macroeconomy.

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Author Information

Michael Clements is Professor of Econometrics at the ICMA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading, UK. He is Series Editor of Palgrave Texts in Econometrics and Palgrave Advanced Texts in Econometrics, and has published extensively on time series econometrics, modelling and forecasting. 

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