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OverviewWith the increased public awareness of a deepening energy crisis, governments at all levels have begun to examine their ability to act meaningfully in response to forms of short- and long-term energy-related political pressures. Emergency preparedness, conservation programs, and contingency planning have become watchwords in our new energy bureaus. The existence of a model provides an element of objectivity to the agency's policy pronouncements and, through the overlap in the energy agency's scope with that of other departments, the views of the energy agency are now made a part of regional development plans.This volume provides the tools to shape and implement community plans and programs relating to energy use in vehicular travel. Fully documented and effective fuel consumption forecasting models are clearly presented. These models range from static and flow adjustment equations delineating fuel consumption to analyses that explain patterns of change for vehicular use.This book shows the statistical procedures used to estimate the models, as well as the procedures used to test the models' significance. The authors include computer algorithms along with full, working examples; both are presented together with an analysis of all the principal alternative approaches. Finally, problems such as the distribution of fuel reserves to meet needs in particular areas within a jurisdiction are explored. Full Product DetailsAuthor: Jon H. Weyland , Jon H. Weyland , Nancy C. Neuman , William R. DolphinPublisher: Taylor & Francis Inc Imprint: Transaction Publishers Weight: 0.566kg ISBN: 9780882850719ISBN 10: 0882850717 Pages: 281 Publication Date: 30 December 1982 Audience: College/higher education , General/trade , Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly , General Format: Hardback Publisher's Status: Active Availability: Temporarily unavailable The supplier advises that this item is temporarily unavailable. It will be ordered for you and placed on backorder. Once it does come back in stock, we will ship it out to you. Table of Contents1 INTRODUCTION 2 AGGREGATE STATE AND NATIONAL GASOLINE FORECASTING MODELS: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE, 3 MOTOR FUEL MODELING EFFORTS BY STATE, 4 STATE MOTOR FUEL FORECASTING MODEL: HISTORICAL, 5 THE RESEARCH DATA BASE. 6 ESTIMATION OF THE TRAVEL BEHAVIOR EQUATION 7 TESTING THE MODEL 8 DEVELOPING THE FORECASTS 137 9 THE CUPR GASOLINE FORECASTING PROGRAM 10 MODEL USES 11 TRAFFIC COUNT DATA: SOURCES AND PROCEDURES 12 SUMMARY OF STATISTICAL AND MATHEMATICAL TECHNIQUES USED IN STATE ENERGY MODELING 13 DATA SOURCES FOR TRANSPORTATION ENERGY MODELINGReviews<p> An admirable book: intelligent, well organized, well written, thorough in coverage. <p> -- Choice <p> An admirable book: intelligent, well organized, well written, thorough in coverage. <p> -- Choice <p> This book is well named: it is concerned with energy forecasting for planners... It provides a very good literature review as well as excruciating detail about collecting the necessary data and developing the models. <p> --Ira M. Sheskin, Annals of the Association of American Geographers Author InformationJon H. Weyland is assistant administrator of the Office of Planning and Policy Analysis in the New Jersey Department of Energy. He has directed development of a statewide energy data management system as well as worked on development of energy-demand forecast models. Tab Content 6Author Website:Countries AvailableAll regions |
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