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OverviewThe intelligence community's flawed assessment of Iraq's weapons systems - and the Bush administration's decision to go to war in part based on those assessments - illustrates the political and policy challenges of combating the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. In this comprehensive assessment, defense policy specialists Jason D. Ellis and Geoffrey D. Kiefer find disturbing trends in both the collection and analysis of intelligence and in its use in the development and implementation of security policy. Analyzing a broad range of recent case studies - Pakistan's development of nuclear weapons, North Korea's defiance of U.N. watchdogs, Russia's transfer of nuclear and missile technology to Iran and China's to Pakistan, the Soviet biological warfare program, weapons inspections in Iraq, and others - the authors find that intelligence collection and analysis relating to WMD proliferation are becoming more difficult, that policy toward rogue states and regional allies requires difficult tradeoffs, and that using military action to fight nuclear proliferation presents intractable operational challenges. Ellis and Kiefer reveal that decisions to use - or overlook - intelligence are often made for starkly political reasons. They document the Bush administration's policy shift from nonproliferation, which emphasizes diplomatic tools such as sanctions and demarches, to counterproliferation, which at times employs interventionist and pre-emptive actions. They conclude with cogent recommendations for intelligence services and policy makers. Full Product DetailsAuthor: Jason D. Ellis (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) , Geoffrey D. Kiefer (Research Support Specialist, National Defense University)Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press Imprint: Johns Hopkins University Press Dimensions: Width: 15.20cm , Height: 2.30cm , Length: 22.90cm Weight: 0.567kg ISBN: 9780801879586ISBN 10: 0801879582 Pages: 320 Publication Date: 15 November 2004 Recommended Age: From 17 Audience: Professional and scholarly , Professional & Vocational Format: Hardback Publisher's Status: Active Availability: Out of stock ![]() The supplier is temporarily out of stock of this item. It will be ordered for you on backorder and shipped when it becomes available. Table of ContentsList of Figures and Tables List of Acronyms and Abbreviations Preface 1. Proliferation 101: A Dynamic Threat, An Evolving Response 2. Standards of Evidence: Intelligence Judgments and Policy Determinations 3. Through a Glass Darkly: Estimative Uncertainties and Policy Trade-offs 4. Intelligence Surprise: Deception, Innovation, Proliferation 5. Intelligence Sharing: Prospective Risks, Potential Rewards 6. Military Support: Intelligence in an Operational Context 7. Warfighting in a WMD Context: Intelligence Gaps, Operational Capabilities, and Policy Implications 8. Combating Proliferation: Toward a National Strategy Notes IndexReviewsBoth college-level military and political science holdings will find this a key addition promoting understanding, debate and classroom discussions. -- Midwest Book Review Ellis and Kiefer, professional U.S. government threat assessors, present an excellent, informative, stark, nonpolemical, and persuasive analysis of the challenges for the U.S. in its monumental task of combating proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD). Choice 2005 Both college-level military and political science holdings will find this a key addition promoting understanding, debate and classroom discussions. Midwest Book Review 2007 Author InformationJason D. Ellis, previously senior research professor at the National Defense University, is senior advisor to the Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security. Geoffrey D. Kiefer is a researcher at the National Defense University's Center for Counterproliferation Research. Tab Content 6Author Website:Countries AvailableAll regions |