Overview

Solve business problems involving time-to-event and resulting probabilities by following the modeling tutorials in Business Survival Analysis Using SAS(R) An Introduction to Lifetime Probabilities, the first book to be published in the field of business survival analysis! Survival analysis is a challenge. Books applying to health sciences exist, but nothing about survival applications for business has been available until now. Written for analysts, forecasters, econometricians, and modelers who work in marketing or credit risk and have little SAS modeling experience, Business Survival Analysis Using SAS(R) builds on a foundation of SAS code that works in any survival model and features numerous annotated graphs, coefficients, and statistics linked to real business situations and data sets. This guide also helps recent graduates who know the statistics but do not necessarily know how to apply them get up and running in their jobs. By example, it teaches the techniques while avoiding advanced theoretical underpinnings so that busy professionals can rapidly deliver a survival model to meet common business needs. From first principles, this book teaches survival analysis by highlighting its relevance to business cases. A pragmatic introduction to survival analysis models, it leads you through business examples that contextualize and motivate the statistical methods and SAS coding. Specifically, it illustrates how to build a time-to-next-purchase survival model in SAS(R) Enterprise Miner, and it relates each step to the underlying statistics and to Base SAS(R) and SAS/STAT(R) software. Following the many examplesa from data preparation to validation to scoring new customersa you will learn to develop and apply survival analysis techniques to scenarios faced by companies in the financial services, insurance, telecommunication, and marketing industries, including the following scenarios: Time-to-next-purchase for marketing Employer turnover for human resources Small business portfolio macroeconometric stress tests for banks International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS 9) lifetime probability of default for banks and building societies Churn, or attrition, models for the telecommunications and insurance industries

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9781629604831

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Reviews

All in all, this book provides a very high quality handbook for any IFRS9 or more generally Credit Risk practitioner and highlights the strong capabilities of SAS for this purpose. -- Michel Biela Biela Analytics Ltd

Author Information

Jorge Ribeiro currently works in the area of econometric model management and development in the retail credit risk industry. He has worked previously as a stress test methodology manager at Yorkshire Bank, head of modeling at Direct Line Group Insurance, Vice President of Barclays Bank in the internal validation unit, head of modeling at HML Mortgages (IFRS 9), and principal data mining and modeler consultant at JD Williams & Co. in the United Kingdom. As a former professor of mathematics, he has more than 20 years of academic experience in advanced econometric techniques, such as vector autoregressive and Bayesian analyses, as well as rational expectations and brand awareness with latent variables using factor analysis and constraint optimization for call center management. He has used SAS since 1986 and has attended more than 50 SAS training courses and has presented at conferences worldwide over the past 25 years. Jorge holds a master's degree in economics from the Fluminense Federal University in Rio de Janeiro. He completed postgraduate work in financial modeling using SAS, and he attended the doctoral program in financial econometrics at the UniversitA(c) de Nantes.

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