Overview

As recent history vividly illustrates, several kinds of unanticipated scenarios—but particularly those of low probability and high impact—have the potential to escalate into systemic crises. Among the most obvious examples are the September 11 attacks, Hurricane Katrina, and the Asian tsunami. Anticipating and managing low-probability, high-impact events is a critically important challenge to today’s policymakers but they lack the necessary tools. Developing such capacity and instruments, including the mindset necessary for “thinking the unthinkable,” is the focus of Blindside.

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9780815729914

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Fukuyama offers creative thinking about the future. -- ForeWord Magazine, 11/1/2007

Fukuyama offers creative thinking about the future. - ForeWord Magazine, 11/1/2007

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Francis Fukuyama is the Bernard L. Schwartz Professor of International Political Economy at the Johns Hopkins University's School of Advanced International Studies. Among his many successful books are America at the Crossroads: Democracy, Power, and the Neoconservative Legacy (Yale, 2007), and The End of History and the Last Man (Free Press, 2nd paperback ed., 2006). He is a member of the executive committee and editorial board chairman of The American Interest.

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